The 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational will be played from March 5 to 8 at Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the third Signature Event of the PGA Tour season and features a 72-player field competing for a $20 million purse. The winner will take home $4 million.
Weather often becomes a factor during the Florida Swing. Bay Hill has seen windy days and sudden showers in the past. This week, though, the forecast looks fairly calm. Warm conditions are expected, with only small chances of rain during the first three rounds.
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Temperatures during the Arnold Palmer Invitational are likely to stay around 29°C to 30°C and while there may be some wind early in the tournament, it is not expected to be a major factor.
Here is the four-day weather forecast for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, according to AccuWeather.
Arnold Palmer Invitational weather forecast
First round: Thursday, March 5
- Conditions: Warm with sun and clouds; a brief afternoon shower possible
- Temperature: 29°C
- RealFeel: 30°C
- RealFeel Shade: 27°C
- Brightness Index: 8 (Bright)
- Wind: ESE 19 km/h
- Wind Gusts: 32 km/h
- Chance of precipitation: 57%
- Chance of thunderstorms: 17%
- Expected rainfall: 0.8 mm
- Estimated rain duration: 1 hour
- Cloud cover: 38%
Second round: Friday, March 6
- Conditions: Partly sunny with breezy conditions in the afternoon and a passing shower possible
- Temperature: 30°C
- RealFeel: 30°C
- RealFeel Shade: 28°C
- Brightness Index: 9 (Very Bright)
- Wind: ESE 20 km/h
- Wind Gusts: 32 km/h
- Chance of precipitation: 55%
- Chance of thunderstorms: 16%
- Expected rainfall: 0.5 mm
- Estimated rain duration: 1 hour
- Cloud cover: 27%
Third round: Saturday, March 7
- Conditions: Partly sunny with possible afternoon thunderstorms
- Temperature: 30°C
- RealFeel: 32°C
- RealFeel Shade: 29°C
- Brightness Index: 9 (Very Bright)
- Wind: SE 13 km/h
- Wind Gusts: 32 km/h
- Chance of precipitation: 65%
- Chance of thunderstorms: 39%
- Expected rainfall: 1.3 mm
- Estimated rain duration: 30 minutes
- Cloud cover: 26%
Final round: Sunday, March 8
- Conditions: Mostly sunny and very warm
- Temperature: 30°C
- RealFeel: 33°C
- RealFeel Shade: 29°C
- Brightness Index: 9 (Very Bright)
- Wind: SE 9 km/h
- Wind Gusts: 22 km/h
- Chance of precipitation: 14%
- Chance of thunderstorms: 1%
- Expected rainfall: 0.0 mm
- Estimated rain duration: 30 minutes
- Cloud cover: 20%
Edited by Sonali Verma
