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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enters the Thursday Night Football duel fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive after losing four of their last five. Tampa Bay’s offense is searching for a spark, and their defense knows it has to rise to the occasion if they want to stay in the NFC playoff picture.
The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, have struggled to find a rhythm with injuries hindering their season, creating a prime opportunity for the Bucs to grab a big win for their playoff hopes.
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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Current Matchups
- Over their last five meetings, Atlanta has tallied three wins versus Tampa Bay.
- Tampa Bay has been outpaced by 7 points in its last five tilts versus Atlanta.
Tampa Bay Betting Information
- Tampa Bay is 5-8-0 against the spread this year.
- The Buccaneers have been favored by 4.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
- Tampa Bay games in 2025 have eclipsed the over/under seven times in 13 opportunities (53.8%).
- When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Buccaneers are 5-2, winning 71.4% of the time.
- The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Buccaneers a 70.4% chance to win.
Atlanta Betting Information
- Atlanta has put together a 6-7-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Falcons are 3-1 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
- Atlanta’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this year.
- The Falcons have been underdogs in eight games this season and won three (37.5%) of those contests.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 33.9% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
Tampa Bay’s Key Gamers
- Baker Mayfield has 2,722 passing yards through 13 games this year, averaging 209.4 per game with a 61.6% completion percentage and 20 TDs (10th in the NFL) against six interceptions. Mayfield has 285 rushing yards (fourth on the Buccaneers) and one rushing TD.
- Emeka Egbuka has caught 54 passes on 110 targets for 806 total yards and six TDs. He is averaging 4.2 catches and 62.0 yards per game through 13 games.
- Rachaad White has 474 yards and four TDs on the ground. He is averaging 36.5 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (26th in the NFL). White also has 33 catches, 172 yards and zero TDs through the air.
- Other running back, Bucky Irving averages 3.4 yards per attempt (46th in the NFL) and 58.8 yards per game for 353 total rushing yards. He has one rushing TD this season. Irving has been targeted 24 times and turned those targets into 23 catches, 239 yards and three TDs.
- Tykee Smith has put up 90 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception in 2025.
- Lavonte David has 89 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
- SirVocea Dennis has recorded 83 tackles, 7.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year.
- Antoine Winfield Jr. has 1.0 sack in addition to his 4.0 TFL, 68 tackles, and two interceptions this year.
Atlanta’s Key Gamers
- Since taking over for Michael Penix Jr. for injury, Kirk Cousins has played three games. Cousins has passed for 595 yards and three TDs and three interceptions.
- Bijan Robinson averages 83.2 rushing yards per game this year (1,081 total yards to rank fourth in the NFL), while scoring five rushing touchdowns. Robinson’s contributions include 56 receptions (4.3 per game) on 70 targets for 602 yards (46.3 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
- Tyler Allgeier is averaging 29.1 rushing yards per game this season (378 total yards), while scoring eight rushing touchdowns.
- Kyle Pitts has 62 catches for 631 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 4.8 yards per game through 13 games and has been targeted 85 times.
- Kaden Elliss has recorded 3.5 sacks (fifth on the Falcons) to go with 9.0 TFL, 88 tackles, and one interception through 13 games in 2025.
- Rookie pass rusher, James Pearce Jr., has 17 tackles, six sacks, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery.
- Jessie Bates III has recorded 1.0 TFL, 77 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2025 season.
- Xavier Watts‘ season stats include 68 tackles and three interceptions through 13 games. He is third on the Falcons in tackles.
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