The Philadelphia Eagles will host the Chicago Bears on Black Friday. The Eagles are coming off one of many worst blown leads of the NFL season, however they nonetheless personal an 8-3 document. The Bears have discovered a stunning quantity of success, posting the identical 8-3 document.
The Eagles have discovered drastically extra success at dwelling this season. They’re averaging .315 factors per play this yr, and that quantity jumps to .418 at dwelling. They’re giving up 25.6 factors per recreation in these contests.
Philadelphia can also be higher defensively at dwelling. They’re permitting solely .318 factors per play and simply 19.2 factors per recreation in these matchups.
Though I do just like the Eagles at dwelling, the Bears on the highway is the larger edge. As is the case with most groups led by a younger quarterback, Chicago has been considerably higher at dwelling all through the 2025 season.
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The Bears are averaging a wholesome .436 factors per play in Chicago this season, rating seventh within the NFL. That quantity drops to .384 on the highway, which bumps them out of the highest 10.
Unsurprisingly, Chicago’s protection can also be worse away from dwelling. They rank 14th in factors allowed per play at dwelling (.334). That quantity balloons to a league-high .543 on the highway this season.
This appears like the right alternative to promote excessive on Chicago whereas shopping for low on Philadelphia. I don’t anticipate the Bears to be on the high of the NFC North by season’s finish, and I do anticipate the Eagles to complete with one of many NFL’s finest data.
Granted, I’m not the very best particular person on the planet on Philadelphia—particularly with their questionable decision-making at head coach. That is nonetheless a spot the place I can confidently keep away from the Bears on the highway.
Chicago is among the greatest surprises within the NFL, and I don’t purchase into them. Finally, they’re going to regress from these ridiculous wins, and this can be a scenario the place we wouldn’t be shocked if the Bears had been a four-win staff.
General, I imagine we’re one playoff staff right here with real Tremendous Bowl aspirations. They’re in a get-right spot in opposition to a staff with a document that oversells who they really are. It’s additionally essential to notice that Chicago is coping with a plethora of accidents, making this job much more troublesome.
The place to Wager: Philadelphia Eagles -7 unfold | +100 at ESPN Wager
2025 NFL Season Betting Report: 20-26
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