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Reading: Trump’s tax reduce might imply a virtually half-trillion-dollar reduce to Medicare beginning in 2027, CBO warns
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Trump’s tax reduce might imply a virtually half-trillion-dollar reduce to Medicare beginning in 2027, CBO warns
Money

Trump’s tax reduce might imply a virtually half-trillion-dollar reduce to Medicare beginning in 2027, CBO warns

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Last updated: August 16, 2025 6:22 pm
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Published: August 16, 2025
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The federal price range deficits attributable to President Donald Trump’s tax and spending legislation might set off automated cuts to Medicare if Congress doesn’t act, the nonpartisan Congressional Price range Workplace reported Friday.

The CBO estimates that Medicare, the federal medical insurance program for People over age 65, might probably see as a lot as $491 billion in cuts from 2027 to 2034 if Congress doesn’t act to mitigate a 2010 legislation that forces across-the-board cuts to many federal packages as soon as laws will increase the federal deficit. The most recent report from CBO confirmed how Trump’s signature tax and spending legislation might put new strain on federal packages which can be bedrocks of the American social security web.

Trump and Republicans pledged to not reduce Medicare as a part of the laws, however the estimated $3.4 trillion that the legislation provides to the federal deficit over the following decade signifies that many Medicare packages might nonetheless see cuts. Up to now, Congress has all the time acted to mitigate cuts to Medicare and different packages, however it might take some bipartisan cooperation to take action.

Democrats, who requested the evaluation from CBO, jumped on the potential cuts.

“Republicans knew their tax breaks for billionaires would drive over half a trillion {dollars} in Medicare cuts — they usually did it anyway,” mentioned Rep. Brendan F. Boyle, the highest Democrat on the Home Price range Committee, in a press release. “American households merely can’t afford Donald Trump’s assaults on Medicare, Medicaid, and Obamacare.”

Hospitals in rural elements of the nation are already grappling with cuts to Medicaid, which is offered to folks with low incomes, and cuts to Medicare might exacerbate their shortfalls.

As Republicans muscled the invoice by means of Congress and at the moment are promoting it to voters again dwelling, they’ve been extremely crucial of how CBO has analyzed the invoice. They’ve additionally argued that the tax cuts will spur financial progress and pointed to $50 billion in funding for rural hospitals that was included within the package deal.

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