Aston Villa welcome Liverpool to Villa Park in a Premier League round 37 battle for fourth place on Friday. With two matches to go in the English top flight, there are few points on offer as teams look to secure their places in next season’s European competitions.
Fortunately for Liverpool and Aston Villa, who are both on 59 points, occupying fourth and fifth place respectively, both of those positions will qualify them for the UEFA Champions League next term.
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This is because English clubs have achieved a top-two finish in UEFA’s association club coefficient rankings this season, providing the fifth-placed English team a place in Europe’s premier club competition in 2026-27.
As such, Villa and Liverpool are well-placed to qualify, but they must both ensure they finish the EPL season ahead of Bournemouth, who sit four points below them at the moment.
The winner of this match will therefore be mathematically assured of a Champions League place, while the other may have to wait until the final matchday, depending on Bournemouth’s result against Man City on Tuesday.
The Reds drew 1-1 with Chelsea at Anfield in their most recent encounter last weekend, while Villa also shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw away to Burnley.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Liverpool have a dominant historical record against Aston Villa, having won on 104 occasions out of 206 official meetings. The Villans have secured 59 wins in this fixture, while 43 matches have ended in draws.
- Most of their recent meetings have gone the way of the Reds, with Liverpool winning 12 of the last 16 Premier League matches against their Birmingham rivals.
- Villa’s last home win against the Merseyside giants was the thrilling 7-2 victory in October 2020.
- Liverpool have scored 60 goals in 36 games this season, while Villa’s goal tally in the Premier League is 50 after 36 matchdays.
- The last time these two sides met in November 2025, Liverpool emerged 2-0 winners at Anfield.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction
Villa coach Unai Emery will look to exploit Liverpool’s high defensive line with the intelligent movement and the pace of Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers.
Arne Slot will hope that Mohamed Salah and Florian Wirtz pass late fitness tests to be involved in the game, as that would add to Liverpool’s attacking options.
Salah’s availability would also give the Egyptian striker a chance to bid fans farewell before he leaves the club at the end of the season. However, in case he does not feature, he may still be able to play in the last game of the season against Brentford at Anfield the following weekend.
Aston Villa are usually tough to break down at home, but Liverpool have a superior goal-scoring record this term, and we expect the Reds to win at Villa Park.
Prediction: Aston Villa 1-2 Liverpool
Aston Villa vs Liverpool betting tips
Tip 1: Liverpool to win
Tip 2: Both teams to score
Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
Tip 4: Liverpool to be winning at halftime.
Edited by Peter Pedroncelli
