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Reading: 2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament Seed Projections: Purdue Moves Up After Texas Tech Loss
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2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament Seed Projections: Purdue Moves Up After Texas Tech Loss
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2026 Men’s NCAA Tournament Seed Projections: Purdue Moves Up After Texas Tech Loss

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Last updated: March 5, 2026 3:13 am
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Published: March 5, 2026
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Fans were treated to a loaded slate of men’s college basketball games on Tuesday, which led to several notable changes in FOX Sports bracket forecaster Mike DeCourcy’s latest NCAA Tournament projections.

Most notably, Purdue jumped up to a No. 3 seed, while Texas Tech fell to the 4-line following a loss to TCU. Both Georgia and Iowa also ascended to the 8-line after Utah State fell to UNLV and UCF lost to Oklahoma State.

Here is a complete look at DeCourcy’s NCAA Tournament seed list:

(Photo by Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

No. 1 seeds

1. Duke
2. Michigan
3. Arizona
4. UConn

No. 2 seeds

5. Florida
6. Houston
7. Illinois
8. Michigan State

No. 3 seeds

9. Iowa State
10. Alabama
11. Nebraska
12. Purdue

[COLLEGE HOOPS: New Men’s NCAA Rankings Have Florida in Top 5]

No. 4 seeds

13. Virginia
14. Gonzaga
15. Texas Tech
16. Kansas

No. 5 seeds

17. North Carolina
18. Arkansas
19. Vanderbilt
20. St. John’s

No. 6 seeds

21. Tennessee
22. Louisville
23. BYU
24. Kentucky

No. 7 seeds

25. Villanova
26. Saint Mary’s
27. Saint Louis
28. Wisconsin

No. 8 seeds

29. Miami Hurricanes
30. Miami RedHawks
31. Georgia
32. Iowa

No. 9 seeds

33. Clemson
34. Utah State
35. UCF
36. Missouri

No. 10 seeds

37. UCLA
38. Texas
39. NC State
40. TCU

No. 11 seeds

41. Texas A&M
42. SMU
43. New Mexico vs. 44. Ohio State
45. Santa Clara vs. 46. VCU

No. 12 seeds

47. Belmont
48. South Florida
49. Yale
50. Liberty

No. 13 seeds

51. Stephen F. Austin
52. UNC Wilmingon
53. High Point
54. Utah Valley

No. 14 seeds

55. Hawaii
56. Navy
57. North Dakota State
58. Austin Peay

No. 15 seeds

59. Portland State
60. Wright State
61. Troy
62. East Tennessee State

No. 16 seeds

63. Merrimack
64. LIU
65. Howard
66. UMBC
67. Bethune-Cookman
68. Morehead State

And it’s never too early to check in on the bubble.

According to DeCourcy’s seed list, Indiana, Auburn, Cal and Virginia Tech are the first four teams out of the tournament, while Cincinnati, USC, Seton Hall and San Diego State are the next four out.

Selection Sunday is less than one month away, and this list will inevitably evolve. For now, DeCourcy’s latest seed list offers a clear snapshot of who’s rising, who’s falling and which programs are already building the résumés they’ll need when March Madness arrives.

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