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Why NASA’s hopes of returning to the moon earlier than China will get there hinge on SpaceX
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Why NASA’s hopes of returning to the moon earlier than China will get there hinge on SpaceX

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Last updated: October 16, 2025 4:11 pm
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Published: October 16, 2025
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This elaborate and complicated sequence hinges on numerous unproven applied sciences; chief amongst them is the necessity to refuel Starship because it waits in house. Dreier mentioned it’s not but clear what number of launches shall be wanted to move the required gas, however they must happen in fast succession.

“Wherever from a dozen to perhaps 20 refueling launches inside a month could be wanted to refill Starship’s tanks to ensure that it to have sufficient power to ship itself to the moon and are available again,” he mentioned. “That’s by no means been achieved earlier than.”

Refueling in house alone would require “big developments” from the place Starship is now, he added.

“It’s a large, huge problem,” Dreier mentioned. “And with out all that, you don’t get to the moon.”

The Starship lander is predicted to tower practically 150 toes over the stout, spidery-looking moon landers that NASA utilized in its Apollo program. This taller design allows Starship to haul extra passengers and cargo, but it surely may additionally make the spacecraft much less secure than its Apollo counterpart.

Nonetheless, it wouldn’t have made a lot sense for NASA to fall again on outdated applied sciences, Dreier mentioned, partly due to price. A single liftoff of the Saturn V rocket NASA used for the Apollo flights would price about $2 billion at the moment. SpaceX, then again, goals to make Starship absolutely reusable, which might decrease prices and shorten turnaround instances between launches.

The following step for the corporate is to roll out its upgraded Starship prototype, which shall be round 5 toes taller and have new docking mechanisms, better power storage and software program upgrades to arrange it for long-duration flights.

The brand new model shall be used for Starship’s first orbital flights and can assist SpaceX take a look at key procedures, equivalent to transferring gas and carrying payloads into house, SpaceX officers wrote in a publish following Monday’s take a look at.

Future flights, just like the one this week, shall be carefully watched as China’s 2030 purpose approaches.

“4 years within the house world is sort of no time in any respect,” Dreier mentioned. “These are extremely complicated and demanding issues as a result of house is attempting to kill you on a regular basis.”

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