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Weekly Commentary: 2025 Yr In Assessment
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Weekly Commentary: 2025 Yr In Assessment

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Last updated: January 17, 2026 9:15 am
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Published: January 17, 2026
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I am at about 30 years persevering as a “skilled bear.” My fortunate break got here in late-1989, after I was employed by Gordon Ringoen to be the dealer for his short-biased hedge fund in San Francisco. Working as a short-side dealer, analyst and portfolio supervisor in the course of the nice nineties bull market – for one of the vital sensible people I’ve met – was an thrilling, demanding and, in the long run, a grueling and completely invaluable studying expertise. Later within the nineties, I had stints at Fleckenstein Capital and East Shore Companions. In January 1999, I started my 16 12 months run with PrudentBear (that concluded on the finish of 2014), working as strategist and portfolio supervisor with David Tice in Dallas till the bear funds had been offered in December 2008. Within the early-nineties, I turned an impassioned reader of The Richebacher Letter. The good Dr. Richebacher opened my eyes to Austrian economics and solidified my lifetime ardour for economics and macro evaluation. I had the great fortune to help Dr. Richebacher along with his publication from 1996 by means of 2001. Previous to my work in investments, I labored as a treasury analyst at Toyota’s U.S. headquarters. It was working at Toyota in the course of the Japanese Bubble interval and the 1987 inventory market crash the place I first acknowledged my love for macro evaluation. Recent out of faculty I labored as a Value Waterhouse CPA. I graduated summa cum laude from the College of Oregon (Accounting and Finance majors, 1984) and later obtained an MBA from Indiana College (1989). By late within the nineties, I used to be satisfied that momentous developments had been unfolding in finance, the markets and policymaking that had been going unrecognized by standard evaluation and the media. I used to be impressed to begin my weblog, which turned the Credit score Bubble Bulletin, by the need to make clear these developments. I imagine there may be nice worth in contemporaneous evaluation, and I’ll level to Benjamin Anderson’s sensible writings within the “Chase Financial Bulletin” in the course of the Roaring Twenties and Nice Melancholy period. Ben Bernanke has referred to understanding the forces main as much as the Nice Melancholy because the “Holy Grail of Economics.” I imagine “The Grail” will as an alternative be found by means of information and understanding of the present extraordinary world Bubble interval.

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