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Wall Avenue wrote off the inventory as too costly. Retail traders cannot get sufficient
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Wall Avenue wrote off the inventory as too costly. Retail traders cannot get sufficient

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Last updated: December 28, 2025 1:35 am
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Published: December 28, 2025
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An ‘insane’ enterpriseA retail ‘romance’Massive cash’s hesitancyOvervaluation or future?Get Morning Squawk on to your inbox

Sopa Pictures | Lightrocket | Getty Pictures

Kyle Dijamco is a proud member of Palantir Applied sciences‘ fast-growing retail investor base.

The Los Angeles-based marketer has wager massive on the protection tech inventory, even growing his publicity after a drawdown earlier this 12 months. The 31-year-old’s place now stands at roughly $25,000.

“It is an thrilling inventory to personal,” Dijamco instructed CNBC.

Dijamco is a part of a military of mom-and-pop merchants who’ve poured billions of {dollars} into the Denver-based firm’s shares in 2025, based on knowledge from VandaTrack. Its monster beneficial properties over latest years amid the unreal intelligence growth has made the inventory an indeniable star of the retail investing world, despite Wall Avenue’s reservations about valuation.

Particular person traders have been on observe to purchase almost $8 billion in Palantir inventory on steadiness in 2025, per Vanda knowledge as of Dec. 8. That could be a acquire of greater than 80% over the prior 12 months, and it displays a rise of over 400% from 2023.

Palantir is on tempo to be the fifth-most purchased safety on steadiness for the 12 months, Vanda knowledge reveals. The inventory sits behind solely megacap names like Tesla and Nvidia and in style exchange-traded funds such because the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Belief (SPY), which tracks your complete U.S. market benchmark.

“It has been nice,” stated Viraj Patel, deputy head of analysis at Vanda, which tracks retail dealer flows. ​​”Palantir has type of been introduced into this group of AI-tech poster [children].”

An ‘insane’ enterprise

Palantir has received the hearts of retail traders amid its takeoff as a inventory. Its shares have surged greater than 150% up to now in 2025, inserting the title on observe for its third straight 12 months with triple-digit beneficial properties.

The inventory has skyrocketed almost 3,000% within the final three years, crushing the S&P 500‘s roughly 80% acquire and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite‘s greater than 120% climb in the identical time-frame.

Inventory Chart IconInventory chart icon

Palantir vs. the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, 1-year chart

Since its 2020 market debut, Palantir has been thought-about a mysterious enterprise given its enterprise with each private and non-private entities.

On the floor stage, Palantir helps each governments and main firms set up their knowledge. Past being seen as a beneficiary of the push to undertake AI, it is seen as a winner beneath the Trump administration’s priorities of accelerating federal authorities effectivity and bolstering nationwide protection.

“The joke for some time has all the time been like, ‘What does Palantir even do?'” stated Paxton Earl, an funding banker with a deal with software program who started studying regulatory studies to raised perceive the corporate. After studying extra, he remembers pondering: “That is really an insane enterprise. It is actually good.”

Earl found via analysis that the corporate’s income was extra diversified past navy work than he initially predicted. As well as, the 23-year-old discovered Palantir labored with consumer-facing manufacturers he knew like Ferrari and Wendy’s.

The emblem of U.S. software program firm Palantir Applied sciences is seen in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 22, 2020.

Arnd Wiegmann | Reuters

The San Diego resident stated he picked up extra shares following the corporate’s third-quarter earnings report in early November. Palantir tanked 16% that month as traders dumped their AI performs on valuation fears, and the inventory posted its worst month-to-month efficiency in additional than two years.

Wall Avenue largely chalked up the sell-off to profit-taking and broader considerations in regards to the well being of the AI commerce. Vanda discovered the majority of Palantir’s retail shopping for befell within the first 9 months of the 12 months, then cooled off as rising fears of an AI bubble left traders questioning the commerce.

A retail ‘romance’

Palantir has gone out of its option to court docket particular person merchants like Earl.

Whereas different well-known firms usually reserve the question-and-answer parts of earnings requires Wall Avenue analysts or journalists, Palantir additionally takes inquiries from retail traders. In an annual video shared from a ski path late final 12 months, CEO Alex Karp particularly shouted out these small shareholders.

“Exceedingly grateful to all of you particular person traders who took the time and alternative, and had the braveness to look previous typical, rusty, crusty platitudes,” Karp stated, whereas was carrying reflective goggles and gripping ski poles.

The inventory has turn out to be a scorching subject on the favored WallStreetBets Reddit discussion board. On a number of days in 2025, it was probably the most talked about inventory on the dialogue board, based on meme inventory monitoring agency Breakout Level.

Palantir “has been a long-standing WallStreetBets romance,” stated Ivan Ćosović, managing director at Breakout Level. “They adore it.”

Massive cash’s hesitancy

Wall Avenue hasn’t jumped on board with the identical fervor as the common Joe. The common analyst polled by LSEG has a maintain score, with a number of citing apprehension in regards to the inventory’s a number of.

The corporate’s valuation has made its inventory a “non-starter” for institutional purchasers, based on Gil Luria, head of expertise analysis at D.A. Davidson. Palantir has a a number of of round 450 instances trailing earnings, operating circles across the S&P 500’s common of shut to twenty-eight.

However, Luria stated retail traders are probably impressed by Palantir’s “bold” mission to play a job in defending the U.S. These on a regular basis traders are probably additionally enticed by Karp, who Luria stated is just like Tesla CEO Elon Musk in his skill to promote a enterprise imaginative and prescient. Nonetheless, Luria stated Karp hasn’t attracted the identical quantity of controversy.

Alex Karp, chief government officer of Palantir Applied sciences Inc., speaks throughout the AIPCon convention in Palo Alto, California, US, on March 13, 2025.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Pictures

Luria stated Palantir additionally attracts parallels to Tesla’s inventory 10 years in the past, when the carmaker was presenting an electrical vehicle-focused future. Tesla shares have soared about 3,000% up to now decade, whereas the S&P 500 has gained greater than 230% in the identical interval.

The query, Luria stated, is that if the retail crowd who backed Tesla a decade in the past are proper as soon as once more about Palantir.

The analyst stated Palantir’s earnings outcomes have been largely robust over the past a number of years. Palantir’s second-quarter report in August — by which the corporate topped the Avenue’s estimates and raised its full-year steerage as a result of AI growth — left him questioning if the inventory is price leaping into regardless of the lofty a number of.

“Even us most jaded, outdated, stodgy Wall Avenue analysts have been stunned by the extent of success,” Luria stated. “It was such a staggering success that I needed to rethink every thing I knew.”

Scion Asset Administration — the now-de-registered fund run by “The Massive Quick” investor Michael Burry — revealed bets in opposition to Palantir and fellow AI darling Nvidia within the third quarter. Karp instructed CNBC that Burry’s transfer was “bats— loopy.”

Alex Karp on 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry: 'Bats--- crazy' for bets against Palantir, Nvidia

Overvaluation or future?

Retail traders are undeterred by the wariness amongst their institutional counterparts. As Breakout Level’s Ćosović put it: the place Burry sees “overvaluation,” WallStreetBets sees “future.”

Palantir has had its justifiable share of choppiness this 12 months, falling greater than 10% on a number of single buying and selling days. However for stakeholders like Dijamco, the California-based marketer, these fluctuations present cheaper entry factors to purchase into a reputation that they imagine in.

“You type of turn out to be slightly bit desensitized to the worth swings,” stated Dijamco, who plans to buy 1000’s of {dollars}’ price of further shares on the following massive downturn. “I simply have that conviction that it will do nicely.”

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