UFC 323 Betting Picks: Finest Bets for the Remaining ESPN Pay-Per-View

The year-closing pay-per-view card for the UFC this weekend marks a historic one. Whereas there may be nonetheless one other Struggle Night time occasion subsequent week, UFC 323 will mark not simply the remaining pay-per-view providing as a part of the promotion’s ESPN deal, it’s additionally the ultimate pay-per-view ever with the UFC heading to Paramount subsequent month.

Nonetheless, the UFC seems to be to shut the pay-per-view period out with a stable occasion that options two title fights. The primary occasion will see Merab Dvalishvili put the UFC bantamweight championship on the road as soon as once more, seeking to change into the primary UFC champion to defend a title 4 instances in a single calendar 12 months. To take action, nonetheless, he’ll must get previous Petr Yan, simply as he did when the 2 first met within the UFC Las Vegas predominant occasion in March 2023.

The co-main occasion, in the meantime, will characteristic Alexandre Pantoja on the lookout for his fifth profitable protection of the UFC flyweight championship. He’ll tackle Joshua Van, who shortly rose up the 125-pound ranks this 12 months, solidified with a win over Brandon Royval at UFC 317 that earned loads of reward.

The remainder of the principle card will characteristic a theme of former champions taking up rising contenders: Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira, Henry Cejudo (in his retirement bout) vs. Payton Talbott, and Jan Blachowicz vs. Bogdan Guskov.

The prelims will characteristic a number of notable names as effectively, together with Maycee Barber, Marvin Vettori, and Edson Barboza.

Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira

Of the three non-title pay-per-view card fights, that is the one I’m wanting ahead to most. That is undoubtedly a key matchup for the division, as Moreno has held the flyweight title twice whereas placing on spectacular performances within the Octagon. Taira has constructed himself up via the ranks however hasn’t reached a UFC title combat but, having handled accidents and a loss to Brandon Royval – Taira’s solely loss in skilled MMA to this point – earlier than incomes the chance to take action.

A win on this bout, nonetheless, and Taira could be subsequent in line for Pantoja (or Van ought to he win the belt).

Whereas Moreno is unquestionably a confirmed all-around fighter, he could be seeking to do extra hanging on this one to counteract the grappling experience offered by Taira. Maybe most notable of all is that neither man has been completed of their profession, with all of their mixed losses coming through determination.

This ought to be a enjoyable encounter, and the neatest play right here is for this three-round bout to see the ultimate horn.

Guess: Moreno vs. Taira To Go The Distance (FanDuel: -290)

Grant Dawson vs. Manuel Torres

This can be a battle of a few scrappy fighters who need to solidify a place for themselves towards the tail finish of the featherweight rankings. Dawson has been practically unstoppable since coming into the UFC off the very first season of Dana White’s Contender Sequence. In reality, Dawson is 11-1-1 within the Octagon since 2019. Torres, in the meantime, is 4-1 since his personal DWCS win, and he’s coming into this bout off a stable TKO of Drew Dober.

That is going to be your grappler vs. striker battle. Dawson’s wrestling goes to be key, and if he will get this battle to the bottom, he ought to be in stable management. That stated, Torres has some spectacular energy, and he can finish issues in a flash.

With these two robust athletes, even when a end occurs, I absolutely anticipate one to not come till later within the combat – if it occurs.

BET: Dawson vs. Torres To Go OVER 1.5 rounds (Caesar’s & DraftKings: +105)

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Antonio Trocoli

If you wish to discuss a younger beast, we are able to discuss Mansur Abdul-Malik, who competes on the early prelim card towards Antonio Trocoli.

Earlier than getting into the UFC, Abdul-Malik racked up a number of consecutive first-round finishes to start out his skilled MMA profession. That earned him a spot on Dana White’s Contender Sequence in 2024, the place he earned a contract after ending Wes Schultz. After that, he began his UFC run sizzling, incomes a efficiency bonus with a first-round end of Dusko Todorovic in his debut, adopted by a end of Nick Klein.

His final combat towards Cody Brundage did have some controversy. Within the third spherical for the primary time of his profession, an unintentional headbutt initially resulted in a technical determination win for Abdul-Malik. The combat was overturned to a no contest, nonetheless, primarily based on Georgia Fee guidelines that prohibit incomplete rounds from being scored – even when a fighter is unable to proceed attributable to an unintentional foul.

Taking up a 34-year-old with a 12-5 file and has struggled within the Octagon, nonetheless, might be going to be the bounce-back efficiency Abdul-Malik simply wants. The query is that if Trocoli will do sufficient to outlive previous the primary spherical.

Guess: Abdul-Malik through KO/TKO/DQ in Spherical 1 (FanDuel: +105)