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Oil costs dip forward of Trump-Putin talks
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Oil costs dip forward of Trump-Putin talks

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Last updated: August 15, 2025 10:28 am
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Published: August 15, 2025
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Oil costs dipped in early European buying and selling on Friday morning, forward of US president Donald Trump’s assembly with Russian president Vladimir Putin in Alaska later within the day, to debate the warfare in Ukraine.

Brent crude (BZ=F) futures fell 0.6% to $66.44 per barrel on the time of writing, whereas West Texas Intermediate futures (CL=F) declined 0.7% to $63.51 a barrel.

The talks are scheduled to happen at 8.30pm BST, so any developments would seemingly emerge after the US market shut.

This would be the first time Trump and Putin have met one-on-one in six years, because the US president tries to dealer an finish to Russia’s warfare in Ukraine.

Learn extra: Markets increased forward of Trump-Putin summit in Alaska

There are hopes that talks might result in a possible finish to sanctions limiting provide of Russian oil to different markets.

In an interview with Fox Information Radio on Thursday, Trump prompt that if the talks go effectively this might pave the best way for a second assembly together with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky, but additionally estimated that there was a 25% probability that the assembly wouldn’t achieve success.

Jim Reid, international head of macro analysis and thematic technique at Deutsche Financial institution (DBK.DE), mentioned: “[Trump] described this potential follow-up as “very, essential”, indicating it may very well be the discussion board for putting a deal. Our [economist] Peter Sidorov notes that whereas an imminent breakthrough is unlikely, the summit will nonetheless be an vital signpost for US-Russia relations and the warfare in Ukraine.”

Gold costs edged barely increased on Friday morning, as buyers remained cautious forward of the Trump-Putin summit.

Gold futures (GC=F) rose 0.1% to $3,387.20 per ounce on the time of writing, whereas spot gold superior 0.2% to $3,343.85 per ounce.

The valuable metallic is on target to finish the week within the pink, regardless of inflation knowledge launched on Thursday coming in hotter than anticipated. Gold is taken into account to behave as a hedge in opposition to inflation, as when value progress erodes buying energy, buyers are inclined to look to the dear metallic as a retailer of wealth.

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Nonetheless, a higher-than-expected producer value index (PPI) studying on Thursday, dented investor hopes of an even bigger 50-basis-point rate of interest lower by the US Federal Reserve. Gold and rates of interest are inclined to have an inverse relationship, as increased charges weaken the enchantment of the dear metallic as a non-yielding funding.

US PPI for July confirmed inflation for companies rose 0.9% over the prior month, effectively forward of the 0.2% enhance that was forecast, knowledge from the Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed Thursday. On an annual foundation, costs rose 3.3%, which was additionally forward of the two.5% anticipated.

In line with a Reuters report, Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Commerce, mentioned: “Gold remains to be grappling with the aftermath of the PPI soar, which raised questions over simply how far the Fed could also be inclined to cut back charges this 12 months.”

The pound gained 0.2% in opposition to the greenback (GBPUSD=X) on Friday morning, to commerce at $1.3555, helped by a weaker buck.

The US greenback index (DX-Y.NYB), which measures the buck in opposition to a basket of six currencies, fell 0.4% on Friday morning to 97.91.

The strikes come as Trump and Putin’s talks loom, whereas buyers additionally digest a raft of financial knowledge each within the UK and the US launched this week.

Sterling hit a one-month excessive on Thursday, after UK financial progress knowledge got here in higher than anticipated.

Figures from the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS) confirmed gross home product (GDP) grew by 0.3% within the second quarter, which was stronger than the 0.1% anticipated, although it nonetheless marked a gradual from a fee of 0.7% for the primary three months of the 12 months.

Consideration will now flip to the discharge of US retail gross sales knowledge and industrial manufacturing knowledge for July, due out later within the day.

Learn extra: Analysts’ high rising market fund and belief picks

Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, mentioned: “The central theme of the US shopper will come beneath the highlight right now with the discharge of retail gross sales figures, the place additional element will probably be sought as to sentiment amongst this key driver of progress.

“Tariff impacts and a barely weakening jobs market are feared to have introduced purchases ahead in earlier month, leaving this launch susceptible to disappointment.”

In different foreign money strikes, the pound was little modified in opposition to the euro (GBPEUR=X), buying and selling at €1.1605 on the time of writing.

Extra broadly, FTSE 100 (^FTSE) hovered across the flatline on Friday morning buying and selling at 9,183 factors. For extra particulars, on market actions test our reside protection right here.

Learn extra:

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