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Iran’s New Ethical Order Has Weakened the Islamic Regime
Politics

Iran’s New Ethical Order Has Weakened the Islamic Regime

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Last updated: December 15, 2025 11:24 am
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Published: December 15, 2025
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Learn ExtraJavad Zarif on Iran’s Future

Iran is present process a profound transformation: one not of establishments or management, however of which means. The Islamic republic continues to challenge energy by its safety providers and regional networks, but it now not controls the symbolic universe that after anchored its legitimacy.

Within the final 15 years, Iranians have quietly constructed another ethical order rooted not in revolutionary sacrifice however in dignity, bodily autonomy, and truth-telling, together with concerning the victims of the state. This bottom-up civil faith now challenges the core of the Islamic republic’s political theology extra successfully than any celebration or organized opposition.

The shift didn’t occur in a single day. It was constructed by a sequence of shocks that gathered over time: the killing of Neda Agha-Soltan throughout the Inexperienced Motion protests in 2009, which reworked a protester into an unsanctioned nationwide martyr; the mass killings throughout the nationwide financial protests of 2019; the execution of wrestler Navid Afkari in 2020, which underscored the regime’s indifference to public and worldwide outrage; and the loss of life of Mahsa Amini in police custody in 2022.

Every episode widened the hole between the regime’s sacred order and Iranian society. By the point protests erupted after Amini’s loss of life, the state had misplaced the emotional authority to outline who counts as a martyr, what’s sacred, and what ethical language might unify the nation.

The symbolic rupture has not receded, and this revolt of which means is now some of the consequential political developments in Iran. It has not toppled the Islamic republic and should not anytime quickly, but it surely has reoriented the ethical middle of Iranian society in methods that may form the nation’s political future.




A lady sporting a pink scarf raises her fist within the air as she yells. Behind her individuals scatter on a road.

A supporter of defeated Iranian presidential candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi shouts throughout protests in Tehran on June 13, 2009. Olivier Laban-Mattei/AFP through Getty Photographs

After the 1979 revolution, Iran’s rulers constructed their authority and ruled by a robust political theology that fused Shia martyrology, revolutionary mythmaking, and the reminiscence of the Iran-Iraq Conflict. The proverbial younger martyr who gave his blood for the revolution grew to become the state’s central icon. His picture—haloed, pure, eternally youthful—stuffed murals, textbooks, and public squares. On this symbolic economic system, the state outlined the sacred, and society internalized it.

However the credibility of this method eroded, starting within the late Nineteen Nineties and accelerating within the 2000s. Corruption, inequality, and the widening hole between the revolutionary elite and unusual Iranians made the state’s exalted ethical language ring hole. A youthful era with no reminiscence of the struggle with Iraq, to not point out the Iranian Revolution, more and more rejected the concept sacrifice for the republic was an ethical obligation.

The rupture grew to become seen in 2009, when thousands and thousands of individuals took to the streets after a disputed presidential election. Iran’s safety equipment—specifically the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and the paramilitary Basij—relied on acquainted strategies of repression. Nevertheless it couldn’t management the symbolic fallout after the killing of Agha-Soltan, captured on a cellphone digicam and unfold immediately around the globe. Inside hours, protesters declared her the “martyr of freedom,” and he or she grew to become a nationwide image unsanctioned by the state. The regime’s monopoly on defining sanctity cracked.

This wrestle over which means intensified over the subsequent decade. Throughout nationwide protests in November 2019, safety forces killed a whole lot of individuals, many from poor and marginalized communities. Their households refused silence: Moms recorded movies demanding justice for his or her kids, and their grief resonated past provincial cities. A yr later, the execution of Afkari, a wrestler broadly believed to have been tortured into confessing to the homicide of a safety guard throughout 2018 protests, produced one other martyr whose phrases—“If I’m executed, I need you to know that an harmless particular person … was executed”—circulated like a nationwide lament.


A picture of a woman on the sidewalk with two small candles.
An image of a lady on the sidewalk with two small candles.

A printed image of Mahsa Amini rests on the bottom in Tehran on Sept. 19, 2022, amid nationwide protests over her loss of life.Center East Photographs/AFP through Getty Photographs

By the point Amini died in 2022, Iranian society had developed its personal ethical repertoire: Improvised shrines, candlelight vigils, and types of mourning resembling hair-cutting that coalesced within the Lady, Life, Freedom protest motion that adopted. That motion has since quieted, however its rituals, slogans, and ethical vocabulary permeate on a regular basis social life. Unveiled ladies stay seen in main cities resembling Tehran, Shiraz, and Rasht, regardless of intensified policing, digital surveillance, and renewed so-called hijab legal guidelines.

The households of these killed throughout the 2022 Lady, Life, Freedom motion proceed to carry public memorials that usually flip into small-scale protests. Safety forces usually try to dam entry to cemeteries or arrest kinfolk, but these gatherings—conventional ceremonies on the fortieth day after loss of life, birthday vigils, poetry readings—stay focal factors of ethical mobilization. College college students nonetheless deploy symbolic acts that echo the language of 2022, together with silent assemblies, refusal to segregate, and circulating protest poetry. On Persian-language social media, movies of native defiance unfold quickly, sustaining a transnational neighborhood of which means.

The consequence is that the protest motion has shifted from the streets to a diffuse, persistent, and morally charged type of on a regular basis resistance. The state has regained bodily management however not symbolic authority.


People sit scattered on a vast lawn in front of a large arched monument.
Individuals sit scattered on an enormous garden in entrance of a giant arched monument.

Individuals collect at Azadi Sq. throughout a rally in Tehran on June 15, 2009. Olivier Laban-MatteiI/AFP through Getty Photographs

A placing improvement since 2022 is the emergence of politically charged road music performances in main cities. Movies from Iran present giant circles of younger individuals gathering round musicians who play songs which have turn into coded expressions of the protest motion: Shervin Hajipour’s “Baraye,” reworked variations of Dariush and Googoosh classics, Farhad’s pre-revolution protest ballads, Kurdish laments from the 2022 funerals, and items by imprisoned rapper Toomaj Salehi. Crowds usually sing alongside and lift lit telephones, turning these periods into improvised memorials.

The presence of feminine voices is especially notable—one thing almost absent from public area earlier than 2022 attributable to restrictions on ladies singing solo. In most of the movies, ladies briefly sing from inside the viewers or alternate verses with male performers, prompting applause. Authorities sometimes disperse these gatherings, but they reappear—suggesting they’ve turn into a sturdy apply.



Two women in veils and head coverings carry flags as they walk by a flower-decal-covered wall. A young man in stand at left looking at a phone.
Two ladies in veils and head coverings carry flags as they stroll by a flower-decal-covered wall. A younger man in stand at left taking a look at a telephone.

Two veiled ladies carry an Iranian flag and a flag of Lebanon’s Hezbollah as they stroll previous two younger individuals, one in every of whom is just not sporting a compulsory scarf, earlier than an anti-Israeli protest in Tehran on Sept. 27, 2024. Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto through Getty Photographs

What has emerged in Iran is just not merely anti-regime sentiment however another ethical framework with its personal coherent rules. First, dignity (keramat), which protesters describe because the core of moral life, has inverted the regime’s valorization of sacrifice. Second, bodily autonomy (khodmokhtari-ye badan) has turn into a foundational precept. The physique is now not the vessel of ideological self-discipline however the website of ethical self-ownership. The slicing of hair, the elimination of hijab, and the safety of 1’s bodily integrity function ritualized acts of which means. Lastly, truth-telling (rastgooyi) has assumed an virtually sacred standing. Households of the useless insist on recounting the exact circumstances of killings, resisting state strain to undertake official narratives. This echoes an extended Iranian literary custom of moral speech and now capabilities as a civic ritual.

Taken collectively, these components quantity to a brand new moralism—a bottom-up ethic that privileges solidarity over sacrifice, obedience, and ideological purity. Not but a totally articulated political program, it’s nonetheless a coherent ethical order.

The centrality of ladies on this order reverses the Islamic republic’s symbolic hierarchy. The important thing protagonists of Iran’s modern ethical creativeness are feminine: Agha-Soltan in 2009, the moms of these killed in 2019, the schoolgirls who eliminated their hijabs in 2022, and many ladies who proceed to look unveiled in public regardless of cameras, threats, and arrests.

Obligatory hijab is just not merely a gown code however the seen cornerstone of the state’s sacred order and a public marker of obedience to divine authority. When ladies take away their hijabs, they articulate a counter-theology: that dignity, not obedience, is sacred; and that the physique is inviolable, not an instrument of political management. The mantra “lady, life, freedom” crystallizes this reorientation and asserts a brand new ethical hierarchy.

Even the state’s personal rituals replicate its decline. Official parades draw skinny, coerced crowds. As soon as-resonant struggle commemorations seem formulaic. The huge spiritual processions of Ashura more and more separate devotional apply from state messaging. The emotional universe that after sustained the Islamic republic has partially indifferent from the establishments that declare to signify it.

In hybrid political techniques, symbolic authority capabilities as an alternative to electoral legitimacy, permitting rulers to justify coercion, mobilize supporters, and command sacrifice in moments of disaster. Such a reservoir of symbolic authority enabled the Iranian state to face up to army disaster and financial collapse within the Nineteen Eighties. However its erosion since 2009 means the regime can now mobilize society solely by coercion or patronage. This marks a profound shift within the ethos of the Islamic republic.

Learn Extra


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    Javad Zarif on Iran’s Future

    Javad Zarif, the previous Iranian former international minister who negotiated the 2015 nuclear settlement, joined FP Reside’s Ravi Agrawal to debate Iran’s function within the Center East and its relationship with america.

When residents elevate their very own martyrs, reinterpret spiritual rituals, and create new types of collective mourning, they undermine the state’s declare to ethical supremacy. A regime can survive financial disaster and worldwide isolation; it struggles to outlive a lack of symbolic credibility.

Iran’s expertise is just not remoted. Societies around the globe have turned to symbolic politics and ethical rhetoric to problem authoritarian techniques. From Hong Kong’s so-called Lennon Partitions, the place nameless protest messages stuffed public areas throughout the 2019 protests, to the spontaneous memorials that appeared throughout Belarus after the regime’s violent crackdown in 2020, leaderless actions have relied on rituals, mourning, and shared narratives relatively than conventional political group. Iran affords the longest and most sustained instance of this development within the Center East.

What distinguishes Iran is the depth of its symbolic rupture. The Islamic republic’s narrative—revolutionary Islam fused with martyrdom and anti-imperialism—was as soon as among the many strongest ideological frameworks within the area. Its decline demonstrates that even probably the most entrenched symbolic orders will be contested from under.

The implications attain past Iran. Spiritual id and historic reminiscence stay central instruments within the political arsenal of Center Jap states. But Iran reveals that after symbols escape state management, they are often redirected. Shia imagery now not reliably helps Iran’s rulers; it will possibly now indict them. Kurdish mourning rituals entice nationwide resonance. Persian epic poetry has turn into a language of moral protest.

The Iranian diaspora provides one other dimension. Lady, Life, Freedom demonstrations appeared in cities around the globe, from Toronto to Sydney, reflecting a world neighborhood of Persian audio system. The huge Berlin rally in October 2022 introduced collectively tens of 1000’s of Iranians and their supporters in one of many largest diaspora demonstrations since 1979. The motion’s ethical vocabulary of dignity and shared grief traveled extra successfully than any political platform might.


 

Overseas governments have been sluggish to understand the symbolic transformation in Iran. Coverage debates concerning the nation usually revolve round its nuclear program, sanctions, and regional proxies. However Iran’s inside evolution issues simply as a lot: A society that has mentally and morally moved past its ruling ideology behaves in another way at house and overseas. Different nations want to grasp not solely Iran’s capabilities but additionally its shifting ethical panorama.

None of this implies the Islamic republic is on the breaking point. It stays a semi-authoritarian system with a robust safety equipment, backed by patronage networks and a political elite nonetheless capable of suppress dissent. However the state’s lack of symbolic authority represents a deeper sort of weakening that can’t be reversed by repression alone.

Younger Iranians have come of age watching protests, funerals, and rooftop chants. These experiences have created a shared archive of reminiscence and which means that shapes how they interpret legitimacy. A political system can endure materials crises, however enduring a disaster of which means is tougher. The state now governs a society whose ethical middle lies exterior the federal government’s ideological body.

This pressure will form Iran’s evolution over the approaching decade. Even when the regime stays, it’ll more and more rule a inhabitants that now not acknowledges its sacred vocabulary, accepts its claims to righteousness, or agrees on the ethical goal of public life. That discrepancy will affect prospects for negotiation with international powers.

Overseas negotiators usually assume that financial incentives will shift Tehran’s calculus. However when a ruling elite feels symbolically weak, it’s extra more likely to take maximalist positions to challenge ideological consistency. Leaders might seem inflexible as a result of worldwide compromise—particularly with Western powers—dangers deepening their disaster of legitimacy. Conversely, the identical ethical hole signifies that Iranian society more and more interprets international agreements not as nationwide achievements however as regime survival methods. This complicates the political sustainability of any deal.



A woman with her hair loose and a scarf around her neck stands facing a mosque with the sun glinting behind it.
A lady together with her hair free and a shawl round her neck stands dealing with a mosque with the solar glinting behind it.

A lady stands in entrance of the Blue Mosque in Tabriz, Iran, on Oct. 16, 2024. Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto through Getty Photographs

The decline of symbolic authority is already seen in elite politics. The regime’s makes an attempt to fabricate public enthusiasm for potential successors, whether or not clerics or hard-line technocrats, have had little traction. State media campaigns invoking the acquainted vocabulary of sacrifice, revolutionary steadfastness, and struggle valor fall flat amongst youthful Iranians. In consequence, rival factions are framing their appeals round materials competence—combating corruption and financial mismanagement and offering sanctions aid—relatively than sacred or ideological legitimacy. Even the safety institution has noticeably shifted its rhetoric towards order, stability, and nationwide dignity—phrases more and more emphasised in official statements and state media—and sidelined the language of revolutionary martyrdom.

An extra signal of this erosion is the state’s rising reliance on pre-Islamic imagery. This isn’t a spontaneous rediscovery of nationwide heritage; it’s a strategic pivot. For 4 a long time, the Islamic republic saved such symbolism at arm’s size, cautious that it competed with the regime’s narrative. But particularly since 2022, municipalities have unveiled a collection of huge public artworks drawing on historic Iranian iconography, usually timed to moments of regional pressure or struggle.

The state’s appropriation of historic heroes reached its peak this yr, in gentle of its have to combat Israel and america—and the information that photos of figures such because the late IRGC commander Qassem Soleimani wouldn’t garner a lot assist.

This sudden embrace of conventional Achaemenid and Sassanian motifs, lengthy cherished by the general public however traditionally sidelined by the state, capabilities as a tacit admission of ideological exhaustion. It indicators that the regime acknowledges the diminishing resonance of its revolutionary symbolism and now seeks legitimacy by borrowing from a shared cultural reservoir. In impact, the flip to pre-Islamic heritage is a symbolic concession: an acknowledgment that the Islamic republic now not possesses a sacred vocabulary able to unifying the nation by itself phrases.

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