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Reading: How US–China tensions gas uncommon earth ‘supply-squeeze’ fears
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How US–China tensions gas uncommon earth ‘supply-squeeze’ fears
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How US–China tensions gas uncommon earth ‘supply-squeeze’ fears

Scoopico
Last updated: October 14, 2025 5:02 pm
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Published: October 14, 2025
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00:04 Speaker A

Time now for our inventory of the day, Uncommon Earth shares. MP Supplies, the most important uncommon earth producer within the Western hemisphere is down now after two straight days of features and shutting Monday at a contemporary file excessive. The sector although, has been up since Friday on reviews that China is including new export restrictions on uncommon earth minerals. That is stoking one other spherical of commerce tensions between the world’s two largest economies. China controls practically 70% of worldwide uncommon earth mining and near 90% of processing capability. Which means any coverage transfer from Beijing can shortly ripple throughout industries from electrical autos and clear power to even the chips that energy AI. Nonetheless with me is my spherical desk for for in the present day, Lale Akoner, Michael O’Rourke, and Brooke DiPalma. And Brooke, I need to begin with you right here on the strikes that we’re seeing in a few of these uncommon earth shares as a result of quite a lot of these coverage linked trades, they’re gaining quite a lot of of consideration this week.

01:02 Brooke DiPalma

Yeah, we have seen some main strikes in terms of these uh uncommon earth shares over the course of those previous two days. We had crucial metals bounce greater than 36% within the pre-market buying and selling. US uncommon earth was up about 11%, MP supplies up about 8%, in addition to others like power fuels and Neo Corp additionally rose about 14 to fifteen%. And this actually relies upon this notion that uh Beijing’s new export controls on uncommon Earth are actually designed to basically power the US to drop these restrictions on promoting these chips to China. And so it truly is a part of this bigger dialog present process and the affect that these uncommon earth uh, you realize, restrictions can have and traders actually trying to acquire in terms of these uh particular shares as nicely.

01:54 Speaker A

Now Lale, you have stated China’s uncommon metals ban might dampen the AI revolution. Stroll me by means of a few of that concern and the broader implications there.

02:07 Lale Akoner

Positive, I feel to start with, the market does um suppose that really this might set off a concern of of a provide squeeze if you’ll. Um the truth that they’re clearly very dominant in in these exports. And in addition the market is pricing in that the US will merely should speed up um its efforts to construct an impartial uh uncommon earth um provide chain. And these are essential uh supplies clearly for magnets utilized in EVs, in protection, in AI, and and and in crucial tech. And subsequently you would see that the market is being um a bit of cautious when it comes to how they worth in its impact on on on the large tech. I additionally see um investor sentiment um being affected by this notion of capital rotating into the extra actual belongings which have strategic utility and therefore the capital stream that we’re seeing for the time being. However sure, I feel the volatility does inform us that the market is anxious about what it might imply within the quick time period for the for the AI commerce.

03:22 Speaker A

And talking of volatility, crypto has been on the transfer fairly aggressively since these renewed US-China commerce tensions. And that is coming as gold is at a file excessive. Michael, you have been writing concerning the so-called debasement commerce, which is actually traders shedding confidence in central banks and shifting in the direction of onerous belongings. Is crypto a part of that story in any respect?

03:49 Michael O’Rourke

Properly, it has been a part of that story and been a part of that commerce, however I truly suppose that commerce might be has much more hype to it than substance. So, like I stated, there there are underlying notions there, whether or not it’s, you realize, anticipated Central Financial institution easing, um whether or not it’s, you realize, these geopolitical issues, whether or not it is fears about devaluation of the greenback or, you realize, American exceptionalism being over. Um what we have seen is that this euphoric run, particularly in issues like, you realize, gold and silver, clearly each hit one other set of file highs this morning. However you realize, I feel quite a lot of this, you realize, goes again to the pandemic in 2020, when the Central Financial institution wound up doing an enormous QE program, doubling its greater than doubling its stability sheet. And the place we’re we’re in the present day is we’re reversing that course of. You simply do not see it each day. However that has, you realize, that insecurity in governments. and once more, that goes from every thing from the elections we see to authorities shutdowns, the dearth of the lack for governments to move budgets, has fueled this commerce so far this summer time.

05:06 Speaker A

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