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How lengthy will California’s COVID surge proceed? 5 issues to know
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How lengthy will California’s COVID surge proceed? 5 issues to know

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Last updated: September 8, 2025 10:14 am
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Published: September 8, 2025
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Contents
1) We aren’t out of the woods but.2) However there could also be indicators we’re reaching the height.3) Total, the summer season spike has been typically delicate.4) However the fall and winter are an open query.5) There’s nonetheless large confusion over the way forward for COVID vaccines.

The coronavirus has muscled its means again into headlines in latest weeks amid a summer season wave of the sickness and rising difficulties in getting the vaccine, in addition to efforts by the Trump administration that would make getting inoculated more durable for some individuals.

The summer season improve is decidedly smaller than what California and the U.S. noticed through the pandemic years. Nonetheless, it has sidelined many who got here down with COVID-19 and has some well being officers involved.

Listed below are 5 issues to know:

1) We aren’t out of the woods but.

In response to information launched Friday, there at the moment are 14 states with “very excessive” ranges of coronavirus detected of their wastewater — California, Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Indiana, South Carolina, Alabama, Louisiana, Connecticut, Utah, Nevada, Idaho, Hawaii and Alaska, in addition to the District of Columbia.

The speed at which COVID-19 lab exams are confirming an infection additionally continues to rise statewide and within the Los Angeles space. For the week that ended Aug. 30, California’s COVID check positivity fee was 12.83%, up from 7.05% for the week that ended Aug. 2. In L.A. County, the constructive check fee was 14.83%, up from 9.33%.

Coronavirus ranges within the sewage of Northern California’s most populous county, Santa Clara, had been nonetheless thought of “excessive” as of Friday.

2) However there could also be indicators we’re reaching the height.

In Orange County, the COVID-19 constructive check fee was 13.1%. That’s beneath the prior week’s fee of 18% however nonetheless greater than the speed for the week that ended Aug. 2, which was 10.8%.

In San Francisco, the check positivity fee was 8.1% for the week that ended Aug. 30. That’s down from the prior week’s determine of 8.7% however greater than the 5.8% reported for the week that ended Aug. 2.

As well as, wastewater information in L.A. County present that coronavirus ranges declined barely from the prior week.

3) Total, the summer season spike has been typically delicate.

Regardless of a brand new variant, there hasn’t been a lot extreme illness from COVID-19 this summer season.

COVID hospital admissions in California have been rising — with the most recent fee of three.93 admissions per 100,000 residents for the week ending Aug. 30, up from 2.38, from the week ending Aug. 2.

However they continue to be comparatively low statewide and in L.A. County. The variety of L.A. County residents looking for look after COVID-related sickness, or who’ve been hospitalized, “is kind of a bit decrease than throughout summer season surges in 2023 and 2024,” the county’s Division of Public Well being stated.

Total, this summer season hasn’t seen COVID exercise to the extent of a 12 months in the past, when the state skilled its worst summer season wave since 2022.

4) However the fall and winter are an open query.

A light summer season wave might create situations for issues later within the 12 months.

In July, the state Division of Public Well being stated that scientists anticipated California would see both a stronger summer season COVID wave or a extra important winter wave.

5) There’s nonetheless large confusion over the way forward for COVID vaccines.

Beneath the management of Well being and Human Companies Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — a vaccine skeptic — federal companies have in impact made it harder to get vaccinated towards COVID-19 this 12 months. The Meals and Drug Administration has “authorised” COVID-19 vaccines just for these 65 and older, in addition to youthful individuals with underlying well being situations.

Which means, throughout the nation, individuals youthful than 65 concerned about getting the COVID-19 vaccine should now both seek the advice of with a healthcare supplier or “attest” to a pharmacy that they’ve an underlying well being situation. It’s a possible hurdle that may make getting the vaccine harder and, some well being consultants fear, immediate much more People to eschew getting vaccinated.

On Thursday, Hawaii joined California, Washington and Oregon in launching the West Coast Well being Alliance: an interstate compact meant to supply science-based immunization steerage as a substitute for the CDC.

It was not instantly clear, nonetheless, whether or not the formation of the West Coast Well being Alliance would make it simpler for individuals to get COVID-19 vaccines on the nation’s largest pharmacy retailers, the place many individuals get their pictures.

Mainstream medical teams, such because the American Academy of Pediatrics and the American Faculty of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, are providing their very own suggestions to advise people and households on what vaccines they need to get.

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