Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
This time last summer, Las Vegas bookmakers had plenty of questions about the Washington Commanders — and it made sense why.
The team moved on from veteran head coach Ron Rivera, brought in a brand-new staff and drafted LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels with the second overall pick.
Their season win total was set at [O/U] 6.5 video games.
All of the Commanders did was experience Daniels to a 12-5 file, a street playoff win over the top-seeded Detroit Lions and a berth within the NFC Championship Sport towards the eventual world champion Philadelphia Eagles.
Washington was two unhealthy quarters away from the Tremendous Bowl.
The query now could be, can they run it again?
It’s a polarizing query within the betting markets, the place the Commanders are totaled at [O/U] 9.5 wins with costs as little as 2/1 to win the NFC East and 9/1 to win the convention.
They’re additionally favored (-145) to make the playoffs.
Washington will want Daniels to keep away from the ol’ 12 months 2 regression and it feels paramount that the workforce efficiently navigates wideout Terry McLaurin’s current commerce request. McLaurin has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in 5 straight seasons, and he caught a career-best 13 touchdowns final 12 months.
“There’s urgency to signal Terry,” a supply close to the Commanders advised me. “He’s their finest playmaker and among the best deep threats within the NFL. They’re attempting to construct round Daniels the way in which Baltimore did with Lamar Jackson.”
We’ll see if each side can attain an settlement.
Daniels is the unquestioned headliner after finishing 69% of his passes for 3,500 yards and 25 touchdowns as a rookie. He rushed for nearly 900 yards and added six extra scores on the bottom, too.
Folks gush over his instincts and decision-making expertise.
“They do numerous digital actuality drills with him behind closed doorways at tremendous velocity,” the supply continued. “After they problem him mentally, they get extra out of him. They know he’ll be able to go bodily.
“It’s robust to seek out anybody in that constructing who thinks final 12 months was a fluke.”
Respect for Daniels is not any totally different amongst bettors and bookmakers, both. Solely Jackson, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have shorter odds to win league MVP at sportsbooks throughout the US.
The hype is actual.
Jayden Daniels’ 2025 NFL MVP odds
DraftKings: +750 (guess $10 to win $85 complete)
BetMGM: +850 (guess $10 to win $95 complete)
Caesars: +900 (guess $10 to win $100 complete)
SuperBook: +1000 (guess $10 to win $110 complete)
FanDuel: +1000 (guess $10 to win $110 complete)
Circa: +1300 (guess $10 to win $140 complete)
I’m hesitant to say the Commanders will match final 12 months’s shock playoff run and expectations are understandably totally different if you’re attempting to maintain success. However offseason additions like Deebo Samuel, Laremy Tunsil, Von Miller and Javon Kinlaw present optimism for double-digit victories.
It’ll additionally assist if Washington converts near 79% of its fourth-down conversions, successful fee that led the league a 12 months in the past.
Assuming McLaurin returns to the fold, I like Washington’s Over.
PICK: Commanders (-110) Over 9.5 wins
Sam Panayotovich is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and the BetMGM Community. He beforehand labored for WGN Radio, NBC Sports activities and VSiN. Observe him on Twitter @spshoot.
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