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Column: Is bombing Iran deja vu yet again?
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Column: Is bombing Iran deja vu yet again?

Scoopico
Last updated: June 24, 2025 5:32 pm
Scoopico
Published: June 24, 2025
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After a brief and profitable battle with Iraq, President George H.W. Bush claimed in 1991 that “the ghosts of Vietnam have been laid to relaxation beneath the sands of the Arabian desert.” Bush was referring to what was generally referred to as the “Vietnam syndrome.” The thought was that the Vietnam Warfare had so scarred the American psyche that we ceaselessly misplaced confidence in American energy.

The elder President Bush was partially proper. The primary Iraq battle was actually widespread. And his successor, President Clinton, used American energy — within the former Yugoslavia and elsewhere — with the final approval of the media and the general public.

However when the youthful Bush, Clinton’s successor, launched wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the Vietnam syndrome got here again with a vengeance. Barely three weeks after the U.S. attacked Afghanistan on Oct. 7, 2002, famed New York Occasions correspondent R.W. Apple penned a piece headlined “A Army Quagmire Remembered: Afghanistan as Vietnam.”

“Like an unwelcome specter from an sad previous,” Apple wrote, “the ominous phrase ‘quagmire’ has begun to hang-out conversations amongst authorities officers and college students of overseas coverage, each right here and overseas.”

“May Afghanistan turn into one other Vietnam?” he rhetorically requested. “Echoes of Vietnam are unavoidable,” he asserted.

Over the following 12 months, the newspaper ran almost 300 articles with the phrases “Vietnam” and “Afghanistan” in them. The New York Occasions, Washington Put up, Chicago Tribune and Los Angeles Occasions ran articles mentioning Iraq and Vietnam at a mean fee of greater than twice a day (I regarded it up 20 years in the past).

The tragic irony is that President George W. Bush did what his father couldn’t: He exorcised the specter of “one other Vietnam” — however he additionally changed it with the specter of “one other Iraq.”

That’s what’s echoing within the response to President Trump’s choice to assault Iran’s nuclear amenities. We’re all acquainted with cliches about generals combating the final battle, however journalists and politicians have the identical behavior of cramming the sq. peg of present occasions into the spherical gap of earlier conflicts.

Trump’s choice to bomb Iran — which I broadly help, with caveats — is truthful recreation for criticism and concern. However the Iraq syndrome cosplay misleads greater than instructs. For starters, nobody is proposing “boots on the bottom,” by no means thoughts “occupation” or “nation-building.”

The controversy over whether or not George W. Bush lied us into battle over the difficulty of weapons of mass destruction is extra tendentious than the traditional knowledge on the left and proper would have you ever imagine. But it surely’s additionally irrelevant. No critical observer disputes that Iran has been pursuing a nuclear weapon for many years. The one reside query is, or was: How shut is Iran to having one?

Tulsi Gabbard, the director of nationwide intelligence, instructed Congress in March — preposterously in my view — that “Iran just isn’t constructing a nuclear weapon.” On Sunday, “Meet the Press” host Kristen Welker requested Vice President JD Vance, “So, why launch this strike now? Has the intelligence modified, Mr. Vice President?”

It’s query. But it surely’s not a sound foundation for insinuating that one other Republican president is once more utilizing defective intelligence to get us right into a battle — identical to Iraq.

The squabbling over whether or not this was a “preemptive” fairly than “preventative” assault misses the purpose. America can be justified in attacking Iran even when Gabbard was proper. Why? As a result of Iran has been committing acts of battle in opposition to America, and Israel, for many years, largely by way of terrorist proxies it created, skilled, funded and directed for that function. In 1983, Hezbollah militants blew up the U.S. Embassy in Lebanon, killing 63. Later that yr, it blew up the U.S. Marine barracks, additionally in Beirut, killing 241 People. Within the a long time since, Hezbollah and different Iranian proxies have orchestrated or tried the homicide of People repeatedly, together with throughout the Iraq battle. It even licensed the assassination of President Trump, based on Joe Biden’s Justice Division.

These are acts of battle that might justify a response even when Iran had little interest in a nuclear weapon. However the fanatical regime — whose supporters routinely chant “Loss of life to America!” — is pursuing a nuclear weapon.

For years, the argument for not taking out that program has rested largely on the truth that it could be too troublesome. The amenities are too hardened, Iran’s proxies are too highly effective.

That’s the intelligence that has modified. Israel crushed Hezbollah and Hamas militants and eradicated a lot of Iran’s air protection system. What as soon as appeared like a frightening assault on a Loss of life Star become a layup by comparability.

None of which means issues can’t worsen or that Trump’s choice received’t find yourself being regrettable. However no matter that situation seems to be like, it received’t look very like what occurred in Iraq, apart from these unwilling to see it another approach.

@JonahDispatch

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